January 7, 2010 by hughbarnard
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To quote the BBC website, verbatim:
Monthly forecastingThe weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather
forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) are run many times for
the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather
types affecting the UK.
So, when your 'government' or 'industry', either national or local tells you that they are going to mitigate, you may reply 'mitigate what, exactly?' If there are man-created instabilities we don't know exactly what they will bring, a good reason to rachet back all our economic nonsense. However, if we manage to break the Atlantic conveyor and our winters start getting really cold (this year is nothing much, think Moscow), this may solve some of our problems for us.